Despite frequent predictions that “nothing will be the same” after the Covid-19 pandemic ends, it likely will be hard to quantify the impact over a longer period of time, say five to 10 years. That has been the case when looking at changes after the internet bubble burst of 2001, the Great Recession of 2008 or events such as 9/11.
This forecast of hyperscale data center revenues from 2018 to 2024 might provide an example. One cannot actually see the impact of the pandemic. In some cases, it might take two to four years for prior trends to reassert themselves. In some cases it will not even take that long to hide the Covid-19 impact on time series data sets.
The point is that predictions that “everything has changed” or that a “new normal” will emerge post-Covid are likely to disappoint those who want those changes to happen. Underlying trends tend to reassert themselves once a disruptive event has happened, and passed.
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